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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

13:00

Venue

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

50%

Alaves

1.98

25%

Draw

4.04

25%

Mallorca

4.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Alaves xG

Total xG

2.68

1.06

Mallorca xG

50%
25%
25%
AlavesDrawMallorca

1.98

50%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

4.03

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

35%

Alaves

2.89

20%

Mallorca

5.06

Win to Nil

17%

Alaves

5.74

5%

Mallorca

20.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 7.3 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.1 11.8 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.5 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.9 5.2 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.622
λ Away (xG) 1.062
Total xG 2.684
League avg home goals 1.541
League avg away goals 1.109
Alaves attack strength 0.922
Alaves defence strength 1.137
Mallorca attack strength 0.842
Mallorca defence strength 1.142
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70