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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Mon 23 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

35%

Alaves

2.84

32%

Draw

3.13

33%

Girona

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Alaves xG

Total xG

2.17

1.06

Girona xG

35%
32%
33%
AlavesDrawGirona

2.84

35%

Home win

3.13

32%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

35%

Alaves

2.88

33%

Girona

3.03

Win to Nil

12%

Alaves

8.17

11%

Girona

9.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 12.1 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.7 13.4 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.0 7.4 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.6 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.107
λ Away (xG) 1.058
Total xG 2.165
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.128
Alaves attack strength 0.784
Alaves defence strength 1.005
Girona attack strength 0.934
Girona defence strength 0.933
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62