Most Likely Outcome
Jeonbuk Motors Win
30%
3.29
31%
3.21
38%
2.60
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.6%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.4%
Draw
0 – 0
11.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.99
Ulsan Hyundai FC xG
Total xG
2.13
1.15
Jeonbuk Motors xG
Ulsan Hyundai FCDrawJeonbuk Motors
3.29
30%
Home win
3.21
31%
Draw
2.60
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.30
56%
BTTS No
1.77
Clean Sheet
32%
3.14
37%
2.68
Win to Nil
10%
10.35
14%
6.97
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.9 | 13.6 | 7.8 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.7 | 13.4 | 7.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.986
λ Away (xG)
1.145
Total xG
2.131
League avg home goals
1.090
League avg away goals
1.231
Ulsan Hyundai FC attack strength
1.157
Ulsan Hyundai FC defence strength
1.112
Jeonbuk Motors attack strength
0.837
Jeonbuk Motors defence strength
0.782
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
49 / 49