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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

07:30

Venue

Gwangju Football Stadium

Competition

K League 1

South-Korea

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gwangju FC Win

40%

Gwangju FC

2.52

26%

Draw

3.86

34%

Suwon City FC

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Gwangju FC xG

Total xG

2.67

1.28

Suwon City FC xG

40%
26%
34%
Gwangju FCDrawSuwon City FC

2.52

40%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

28%

Gwangju FC

3.59

25%

Suwon City FC

4.03

Win to Nil

11%

Gwangju FC

9.05

9%

Suwon City FC

11.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.8 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.6 12.3 7.9 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 8.6 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.395
λ Away (xG) 1.279
Total xG 2.674
League avg home goals 1.444
League avg away goals 1.259
Gwangju FC attack strength 0.977
Gwangju FC defence strength 1.004
Suwon City FC attack strength 1.013
Suwon City FC defence strength 0.989
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33