Most Likely Outcome
FC Anyang Win
31%
3.22
34%
2.96
35%
2.84
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
13.4%
Away win
0 – 0
12.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.00
Gwangju FC xG
Total xG
2.09
1.08
FC Anyang xG
Gwangju FCDrawFC Anyang
3.22
31%
Home win
2.96
34%
Draw
2.84
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
35%
Over 2.5
2.86
65%
Under 2.5
1.54
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.28
56%
BTTS No
1.78
Clean Sheet
34%
2.96
37%
2.73
Win to Nil
10%
9.53
13%
7.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.4 | 13.4 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.4 | 13.5 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.005
λ Away (xG)
1.085
Total xG
2.090
League avg home goals
1.151
League avg away goals
1.171
Gwangju FC attack strength
0.926
Gwangju FC defence strength
1.005
FC Anyang attack strength
0.922
FC Anyang defence strength
0.943
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
42 / 42