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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al Shabab cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Al Okhdood.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al Shabab beat Al Okhdood 2-0 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Regular Season - 26, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Shabab 2.01 xG and Al Okhdood 1.43 xG, a combined 3.45. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Al Okhdood landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Shabab attack 1.13 / defence 1.34 against Al Okhdood attack 0.74 / defence 1.17, drawn from 59/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Shabab 51% | Draw 22% | Al Okhdood 27%, with Al Shabab to win its most likely call at 51%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 67%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 86% and landed. Over 3.5 was 45% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 66% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Shabab 56%, Al Okhdood 52%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Shabab's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.

Al Okhdood's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 39% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Al Shabab arrived the stronger side — 1.46 PPG against 0.80. Form held, and they took the win. Al Shabab (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.48 average — tighter than their form line. Al Okhdood (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.90 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights