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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Al-Qadisiyah FC cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Al-Hazm.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Qadisiyah FC beat Al-Hazm 2-0 at Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Regular Season - 33, in the Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al-Qadisiyah FC 2.42 xG and Al-Hazm 0.81 xG, a combined 3.22. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Al-Hazm landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al-Qadisiyah FC attack 1.41 / defence 0.78 against Al-Hazm attack 0.73 / defence 1.14, drawn from 66/32 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al-Qadisiyah FC 72% | Draw 18% | Al-Hazm 10%, with Al-Qadisiyah FC to win its most likely call at 72%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 62%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 84% and landed. Over 3.5 was 40% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 67% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al-Qadisiyah FC 72%, Al-Hazm 62%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 66%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al-Qadisiyah FC's trading profile (32 games, 16 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 69% of their matches — today it did not.

Al-Hazm's trading profile (32 games, 16 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 34% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Qadisiyah FC arrived the stronger side — 2.22 PPG against 1.22. Form held, and they took the win. Al-Qadisiyah FC (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 0.81 average — tighter than their form line. Al-Hazm (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights