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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:05

Venue

Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Al-Ettifaq Win

35%

Al-Qadisiyah FC

2.86

28%

Draw

3.56

37%

Al-Ettifaq

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Al-Qadisiyah FC xG

Total xG

2.34

1.19

Al-Ettifaq xG

35%
28%
37%
Al-Qadisiyah FCDrawAl-Ettifaq

2.86

35%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

30%

Al-Qadisiyah FC

3.29

32%

Al-Ettifaq

3.16

Win to Nil

11%

Al-Qadisiyah FC

9.43

12%

Al-Ettifaq

8.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 11.5 6.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.1 13.2 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.4 7.6 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.4 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.150
λ Away (xG) 1.192
Total xG 2.342
League avg home goals 1.487
League avg away goals 1.325
Al-Qadisiyah FC attack strength 0.903
Al-Qadisiyah FC defence strength 0.772
Al-Ettifaq attack strength 1.166
Al-Ettifaq defence strength 0.856
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 59