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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

17:00

Venue

Al-Awwal Park

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Al-Nassr Win

79%

Al-Nassr

1.26

13%

Draw

7.68

8%

Al-Fateh

12.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.84

Al-Nassr xG

Total xG

3.65

0.81

Al-Fateh xG

79%
13%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Fateh

1.26

79%

Home win

7.68

13%

Draw

12.72

8%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

44%

Al-Nassr

2.25

6%

Al-Fateh

17.17

Win to Nil

35%

Al-Nassr

2.84

0%

Al-Fateh

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 2.1 0.9 0.2
1 7.4 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 10.5 8.5 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 9.9 8.0 3.3 0.9 0.2
4 7.0 5.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
5 4.0 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.843
λ Away (xG) 0.811
Total xG 3.654
League avg home goals 1.455
League avg away goals 1.409
Al-Nassr attack strength 1.202
Al-Nassr defence strength 0.787
Al-Fateh attack strength 0.731
Al-Fateh defence strength 1.626
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50