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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Wed 28 Jan 2026

15:20

Venue

King Abdullah Sports City Stadium

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Al Najma Win

43%

Al Najma

2.32

23%

Draw

4.37

34%

Al Riyadh

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

1 – 2

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Al Najma xG

Total xG

3.65

1.71

Al Riyadh xG

43%
23%
34%
Al NajmaDrawAl Riyadh

2.32

43%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.41

29%

BTTS No

3.41

Clean Sheet

18%

Al Najma

5.53

14%

Al Riyadh

6.92

Win to Nil

8%

Al Najma

12.85

5%

Al Riyadh

20.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 4.5 3.8 2.2 0.9 0.3
1 5.0 8.6 7.4 4.2 1.8 0.6
2 4.9 8.4 7.2 4.1 1.7 0.6
3 3.2 5.4 4.6 2.6 1.1 0.4
4 1.5 2.6 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.935
λ Away (xG) 1.711
Total xG 3.646
League avg home goals 1.522
League avg away goals 1.449
Al Najma attack strength 0.932
Al Najma defence strength 1.371
Al Riyadh attack strength 0.861
Al Riyadh defence strength 1.365
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 51