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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

13:40

Venue

King Abdullah Sports City Stadium

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Al-Fateh Win

32%

Al Najma

3.14

24%

Draw

4.21

44%

Al-Fateh

2.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Al Najma xG

Total xG

3.06

1.67

Al-Fateh xG

32%
24%
44%
Al NajmaDrawAl-Fateh

3.14

32%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

2.25

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

19%

Al Najma

5.33

25%

Al-Fateh

3.99

Win to Nil

6%

Al Najma

16.74

11%

Al-Fateh

8.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 7.9 6.6 3.7 1.5 0.5
1 6.5 10.9 9.1 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 4.5 7.5 6.3 3.5 1.5 0.5
3 2.1 3.5 2.9 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.383
λ Away (xG) 1.673
Total xG 3.056
League avg home goals 1.556
League avg away goals 1.419
Al Najma attack strength 0.992
Al Najma defence strength 1.375
Al-Fateh attack strength 0.857
Al-Fateh defence strength 0.896
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 48