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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Al-Qadisiyah FC run riot with a 1-4 hammering of Al Kholood.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Al-Qadisiyah FC beat Al Kholood 1-4 at Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Regular Season - 25, in the Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Al Kholood 0.88 xG and Al-Qadisiyah FC 2.44 xG, a combined 3.31. The scoreboard read 1-4 for 5 actual goals. Al-Qadisiyah FC outscored their 2.44 projection by 1.6. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Al Kholood attack 0.66 / defence 1.27 against Al-Qadisiyah FC attack 1.37 / defence 0.87, drawn from 58/58 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Al Kholood 11% | Draw 18% | Al-Qadisiyah FC 71%, with Al-Qadisiyah FC to win its most likely call at 71%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 42% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Al Kholood 60%, Al-Qadisiyah FC 55%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Al Kholood's trading profile (58 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did.

Al-Qadisiyah FC's trading profile (58 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Al-Qadisiyah FC arrived the stronger side — 2.10 PPG against 1.12. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Al Kholood (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 1.79 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Al-Qadisiyah FC (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.71 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights