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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Thu 17 Apr 2025

16:40

Venue

EGO Stadium

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Al-Ettifaq Win

37%

Al-Ettifaq

2.73

27%

Draw

3.67

36%

Al Riyadh

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Al-Ettifaq xG

Total xG

2.56

1.27

Al Riyadh xG

37%
27%
36%
Al-EttifaqDrawAl Riyadh

2.73

37%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

28%

Al-Ettifaq

3.58

28%

Al Riyadh

3.62

Win to Nil

10%

Al-Ettifaq

9.77

10%

Al Riyadh

10.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.8 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.9 12.7 8.1 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.4 8.1 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.7 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.286
λ Away (xG) 1.275
Total xG 2.561
League avg home goals 1.434
League avg away goals 1.335
Al-Ettifaq attack strength 0.828
Al-Ettifaq defence strength 1.100
Al Riyadh attack strength 0.868
Al Riyadh defence strength 1.084
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61