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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Mon 4 May 2026

19:00

Venue

Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium

Competition

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Al-Ettifaq Win

70%

Al-Ettifaq

1.42

17%

Draw

6.03

13%

Al Najma

7.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

3 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.59

Al-Ettifaq xG

Total xG

3.64

1.05

Al Najma xG

70%
17%
13%
Al-EttifaqDrawAl Najma

1.42

70%

Home win

6.03

17%

Draw

7.66

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

35%

Al-Ettifaq

2.85

8%

Al Najma

13.30

Win to Nil

25%

Al-Ettifaq

4.05

1%

Al Najma

101.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.8 7.1 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 8.8 9.3 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 7.6 8.0 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 4.9 5.2 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 2.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.588
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 3.636
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.435
Al-Ettifaq attack strength 1.110
Al-Ettifaq defence strength 1.061
Al Najma attack strength 0.688
Al Najma defence strength 1.508
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 30