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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Relegation Round

Kick-off

Wed 28 May 2025

15:00

Venue

Ekaterinburg Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ural Win

57%

Ural

1.76

27%

Draw

3.66

16%

Akhmat

6.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Ural xG

Total xG

2.68

0.88

Akhmat xG

57%
27%
16%
UralDrawAkhmat

1.76

57%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

6.32

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

41%

Ural

2.41

17%

Akhmat

6.06

Win to Nil

24%

Ural

4.24

3%

Akhmat

38.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 12.3 10.9 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.8 4.3 1.3 0.3
3 6.7 5.9 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 3.0 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.801
λ Away (xG) 0.881
Total xG 2.682
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.097
Ural attack strength 1.009
Ural defence strength 1.010
Akhmat attack strength 0.796
Akhmat defence strength 1.155
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 60