Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

17:30

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

52%

Spartak Moscow

1.92

22%

Draw

4.65

26%

Lokomotiv

3.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

1 – 0

6.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

3.41

1.39

Lokomotiv xG

52%
22%
26%
Spartak MoscowDrawLokomotiv

1.92

52%

Home win

4.65

22%

Draw

3.80

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.87

Clean Sheet

25%

Spartak Moscow

4.01

13%

Lokomotiv

7.56

Win to Nil

13%

Spartak Moscow

7.69

3%

Lokomotiv

28.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 4.6 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 6.7 9.3 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 9.4 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.5 6.3 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.3 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.023
λ Away (xG) 1.390
Total xG 3.413
League avg home goals 1.605
League avg away goals 1.059
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.121
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.126
Lokomotiv attack strength 1.166
Lokomotiv defence strength 1.124
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52