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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 11 May 2026

13:15

Venue

Sovcombank Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nizhny Novgorod Win

37%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.72

31%

Draw

3.19

32%

CSKA Moscow

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.3%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

1.95

0.93

CSKA Moscow xG

37%
31%
32%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawCSKA Moscow

2.72

37%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

40%

Nizhny Novgorod

2.53

36%

CSKA Moscow

2.77

Win to Nil

15%

Nizhny Novgorod

6.88

12%

CSKA Moscow

8.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3 13.2 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 14.5 13.5 6.3 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 7.4 6.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
3 2.5 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.019
λ Away (xG) 0.928
Total xG 1.947
League avg home goals 1.351
League avg away goals 1.063
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.902
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.000
CSKA Moscow attack strength 0.873
CSKA Moscow defence strength 0.836
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58