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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

12:15

Venue

Sovcombank Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Baltika Win

21%

Nizhny Novgorod

4.66

30%

Draw

3.33

49%

Baltika

2.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 2

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Nizhny Novgorod xG

Total xG

2.38

1.47

Baltika xG

21%
30%
49%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawBaltika

4.66

21%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

2.06

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

23%

Nizhny Novgorod

4.35

40%

Baltika

2.48

Win to Nil

5%

Nizhny Novgorod

20.31

20%

Baltika

5.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 13.6 10.0 4.9 1.8 0.5
1 8.4 12.4 9.1 4.5 1.6 0.5
2 3.8 5.6 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.907
λ Away (xG) 1.471
Total xG 2.378
League avg home goals 1.420
League avg away goals 1.192
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.931
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.121
Baltika attack strength 1.101
Baltika defence strength 0.686
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 12