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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

17:30

Venue

Rostec Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Baltika Win

67%

Baltika

1.48

21%

Draw

4.81

12%

Nizhny Novgorod

8.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.1%

Home win

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Baltika xG

Total xG

2.55

0.65

Nizhny Novgorod xG

67%
21%
12%
BaltikaDrawNizhny Novgorod

1.48

67%

Home win

4.81

21%

Draw

8.45

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.47

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

52%

Baltika

1.91

15%

Nizhny Novgorod

6.71

Win to Nil

35%

Baltika

2.84

2%

Nizhny Novgorod

56.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.9 9.6 3.1 0.7 0.1
2 14.1 9.1 3.0 0.6 0.1
3 9.0 5.8 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 4.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
5 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.904
λ Away (xG) 0.647
Total xG 2.551
League avg home goals 1.569
League avg away goals 1.053
Baltika attack strength 1.001
Baltika defence strength 0.763
Nizhny Novgorod attack strength 0.805
Nizhny Novgorod defence strength 1.213
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 53