Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 11 May 2026

11:00

Venue

Samara Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Rostov Win

30%

Akron

3.38

28%

Draw

3.54

42%

FC Rostov

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Akron xG

Total xG

2.28

1.27

FC Rostov xG

30%
28%
42%
AkronDrawFC Rostov

3.38

30%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

28%

Akron

3.55

36%

FC Rostov

2.75

Win to Nil

8%

Akron

12.01

15%

FC Rostov

6.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 13.0 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
1 10.4 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.2 6.6 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.013
λ Away (xG) 1.268
Total xG 2.281
League avg home goals 1.351
League avg away goals 1.045
Akron attack strength 0.895
Akron defence strength 1.259
FC Rostov attack strength 0.964
FC Rostov defence strength 0.838
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58