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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 2 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio José Alvalade

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

56%

Sporting CP

1.80

28%

Draw

3.61

17%

Farense

5.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 0

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Sporting CP xG

Total xG

2.11

0.66

Farense xG

56%
28%
17%
Sporting CPDrawFarense

1.80

56%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

5.98

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.67

62%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

51%

Sporting CP

1.94

24%

Farense

4.25

Win to Nil

29%

Sporting CP

3.49

4%

Farense

25.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 8.1 2.7 0.6 0.1
1 17.5 11.6 3.9 0.9 0.1
2 12.7 8.4 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 6.1 4.1 1.3 0.3
4 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.446
λ Away (xG) 0.664
Total xG 2.110
League avg home goals 1.398
League avg away goals 1.152
Sporting CP attack strength 1.279
Sporting CP defence strength 0.793
Farense attack strength 0.727
Farense defence strength 0.808
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53