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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santa Clara Win

38%

Santa Clara

2.63

27%

Draw

3.69

35%

GIL Vicente

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

2.48

1.21

GIL Vicente xG

38%
27%
35%
Santa ClaraDrawGIL Vicente

2.63

38%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

30%

Santa Clara

3.35

28%

GIL Vicente

3.57

Win to Nil

11%

Santa Clara

8.81

10%

GIL Vicente

10.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 10.1 6.1 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 10.6 12.9 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.8 8.2 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 2.9 3.5 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.273
λ Away (xG) 1.208
Total xG 2.481
League avg home goals 1.490
League avg away goals 1.154
Santa Clara attack strength 0.819
Santa Clara defence strength 1.000
GIL Vicente attack strength 1.047
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.043
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60