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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

35%

Santa Clara

2.85

36%

Draw

2.80

29%

Famalicao

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

20.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

17.4%

Home win

0 – 1

15.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

1.57

0.73

Famalicao xG

35%
36%
29%
Santa ClaraDrawFamalicao

2.85

35%

Home win

2.80

36%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

46%

Over 1.5

2.17

54%

Under 1.5

1.85

21%

Over 2.5

4.76

79%

Under 2.5

1.27

7%

Over 3.5

14.29

93%

Under 3.5

1.08

2%

Over 4.5

50.00

98%

Under 4.5

1.02

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

29%

BTTS Yes

3.40

71%

BTTS No

1.42

Clean Sheet

48%

Santa Clara

2.08

43%

Famalicao

2.31

Win to Nil

17%

Santa Clara

5.92

13%

Famalicao

7.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.8 15.3 5.6 1.4 0.2
1 17.4 12.8 4.7 1.1 0.2
2 7.3 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.836
λ Away (xG) 0.732
Total xG 1.568
League avg home goals 1.440
League avg away goals 1.253
Santa Clara attack strength 0.688
Santa Clara defence strength 0.765
Famalicao attack strength 0.765
Famalicao defence strength 0.843
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51