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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 13 Feb 2026

18:30

Venue

Estádio de São Miguel

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

16%

Santa Clara

6.42

25%

Draw

3.94

59%

Benfica

1.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

13.3%

Away win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.65

Santa Clara xG

Total xG

2.21

1.55

Benfica xG

16%
25%
59%
Santa ClaraDrawBenfica

6.42

16%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

1.69

59%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

21%

Santa Clara

4.72

52%

Benfica

1.92

Win to Nil

3%

Santa Clara

30.32

31%

Benfica

3.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 17.1 13.3 6.9 2.7 0.8
1 7.2 11.2 8.7 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 2.4 3.7 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
3 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.654
λ Away (xG) 1.552
Total xG 2.206
League avg home goals 1.536
League avg away goals 1.244
Santa Clara attack strength 0.697
Santa Clara defence strength 1.007
Benfica attack strength 1.239
Benfica defence strength 0.611
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55