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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estrela Win

36%

Rio Ave

2.80

27%

Draw

3.67

37%

Estrela

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Rio Ave xG

Total xG

2.52

1.27

Estrela xG

36%
27%
37%
Rio AveDrawEstrela

2.80

36%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

28%

Rio Ave

3.57

29%

Estrela

3.47

Win to Nil

10%

Rio Ave

9.99

11%

Estrela

9.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 10.3 6.5 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.0 12.8 8.1 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.3 8.0 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.6 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.245
λ Away (xG) 1.272
Total xG 2.517
League avg home goals 1.470
League avg away goals 1.181
Rio Ave attack strength 0.714
Rio Ave defence strength 1.206
Estrela attack strength 0.892
Estrela defence strength 1.187
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59