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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio da Madeira

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

30%

Nacional

3.33

30%

Draw

3.32

40%

Famalicao

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Nacional xG

Total xG

2.63

1.42

Famalicao xG

30%
30%
40%
NacionalDrawFamalicao

3.33

30%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

24%

Nacional

4.15

30%

Famalicao

3.35

Win to Nil

7%

Nacional

13.85

12%

Famalicao

8.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 10.2 7.3 3.5 1.2 0.4
1 8.7 12.4 8.8 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 5.3 7.5 5.3 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 2.1 3.0 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.210
λ Away (xG) 1.424
Total xG 2.634
League avg home goals 1.348
League avg away goals 1.197
Nacional attack strength 1.015
Nacional defence strength 1.351
Famalicao attack strength 0.880
Famalicao defence strength 0.884
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43