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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Nacional Win
61%
1.63
19%
5.31
20%
5.01
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
7.7%
Draw
3 – 1
7.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.40
Nacional xG
Total xG
3.72
1.32
Casa Pia xG
NacionalDrawCasa Pia
1.63
61%
Home win
5.31
19%
Draw
5.01
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
72%
Over 2.5
1.39
28%
Under 2.5
3.57
51%
Over 3.5
1.96
49%
Under 3.5
2.04
32%
Over 4.5
3.12
68%
Under 4.5
1.47
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
67%
BTTS Yes
1.50
33%
BTTS No
3.00
Clean Sheet
27%
3.75
9%
10.97
Win to Nil
16%
6.12
2%
54.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 7.7 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 9.2 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.6 | 7.4 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.395
λ Away (xG)
1.321
Total xG
3.716
League avg home goals
1.561
League avg away goals
1.264
Nacional attack strength
1.270
Nacional defence strength
1.208
Casa Pia attack strength
0.865
Casa Pia defence strength
1.208
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
54 / 54