🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Moreirense Win
55%
1.83
22%
4.54
23%
4.28
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.0%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
1 – 0
8.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.95
Moreirense xG
Total xG
3.16
1.21
Tondela xG
MoreirenseDrawTondela
1.83
55%
Home win
4.54
22%
Draw
4.28
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
60%
BTTS Yes
1.66
40%
BTTS No
2.51
Clean Sheet
30%
3.35
14%
7.03
Win to Nil
16%
6.13
3%
30.10
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.1 | 9.8 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.3 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.950
λ Away (xG)
1.208
Total xG
3.158
League avg home goals
1.459
League avg away goals
1.283
Moreirense attack strength
1.059
Moreirense defence strength
1.233
Tondela attack strength
0.764
Tondela defence strength
1.262
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
50 / 16