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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

15:30

Venue

Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Moreirense Win

38%

Moreirense

2.61

27%

Draw

3.68

35%

GIL Vicente

2.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Moreirense xG

Total xG

2.48

1.20

GIL Vicente xG

38%
27%
35%
MoreirenseDrawGIL Vicente

2.61

38%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.89

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

30%

Moreirense

3.32

28%

GIL Vicente

3.58

Win to Nil

12%

Moreirense

8.67

10%

GIL Vicente

10.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 10.1 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.7 12.9 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.9 8.2 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 2.9 3.5 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.276
λ Away (xG) 1.199
Total xG 2.475
League avg home goals 1.552
League avg away goals 1.250
Moreirense attack strength 0.906
Moreirense defence strength 1.044
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.919
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.907
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54