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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guimaraes Win

46%

Guimaraes

2.18

32%

Draw

3.13

22%

Famalicao

4.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.1%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Guimaraes xG

Total xG

1.96

0.75

Famalicao xG

46%
32%
22%
GuimaraesDrawFamalicao

2.18

46%

Home win

3.13

32%

Draw

4.51

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

47%

Guimaraes

2.12

30%

Famalicao

3.34

Win to Nil

22%

Guimaraes

4.63

7%

Famalicao

15.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1 10.6 4.0 1.0 0.2
1 17.0 12.8 4.8 1.2 0.2
2 10.2 7.7 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 4.1 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.205
λ Away (xG) 0.753
Total xG 1.958
League avg home goals 1.500
League avg away goals 1.166
Guimaraes attack strength 0.906
Guimaraes defence strength 0.966
Famalicao attack strength 0.668
Famalicao defence strength 0.887
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59