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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

27%

Guimaraes

3.75

31%

Draw

3.21

42%

Benfica

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Guimaraes xG

Total xG

2.35

1.33

Benfica xG

27%
31%
42%
GuimaraesDrawBenfica

3.75

27%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

26%

Guimaraes

3.79

36%

Benfica

2.76

Win to Nil

7%

Guimaraes

14.24

15%

Benfica

6.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 12.7 8.5 3.8 1.3 0.3
1 9.7 12.9 8.6 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 4.9 6.6 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.7 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.015
λ Away (xG) 1.333
Total xG 2.348
League avg home goals 1.334
League avg away goals 1.278
Guimaraes attack strength 1.097
Guimaraes defence strength 0.957
Benfica attack strength 1.089
Benfica defence strength 0.693
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43