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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

64%

GIL Vicente

1.56

24%

Draw

4.16

12%

Tondela

8.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.9%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.48

0.66

Tondela xG

64%
24%
12%
GIL VicenteDrawTondela

1.56

64%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

8.52

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

52%

GIL Vicente

1.93

16%

Tondela

6.20

Win to Nil

33%

GIL Vicente

3.01

2%

Tondela

52.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 15.2 10.0 3.3 0.7 0.1
2 13.9 9.2 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 8.4 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 3.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
5 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.825
λ Away (xG) 0.660
Total xG 2.485
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.326
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.996
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.684
Tondela attack strength 0.727
Tondela defence strength 1.371
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 11