Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

39%

GIL Vicente

2.56

25%

Draw

3.93

35%

SC Braga

2.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.77

1.34

SC Braga xG

39%
25%
35%
GIL VicenteDrawSC Braga

2.56

39%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

2.82

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

26%

GIL Vicente

3.84

24%

SC Braga

4.15

Win to Nil

10%

GIL Vicente

9.82

9%

SC Braga

11.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 8.4 5.7 2.5 0.9 0.2
1 8.9 12.0 8.1 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 8.6 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.0 4.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.424
λ Away (xG) 1.345
Total xG 2.769
League avg home goals 1.551
League avg away goals 1.251
GIL Vicente attack strength 1.176
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.811
SC Braga attack strength 1.326
SC Braga defence strength 0.781
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55