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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 17 Feb 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

44%

GIL Vicente

2.26

27%

Draw

3.72

29%

Famalicao

3.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.70

1.18

Famalicao xG

44%
27%
29%
GIL VicenteDrawFamalicao

2.26

44%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

3.47

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

31%

GIL Vicente

3.25

22%

Famalicao

4.55

Win to Nil

14%

GIL Vicente

7.35

6%

Famalicao

15.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.0 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.2 12.1 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.1 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 3.9 4.6 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.516
λ Away (xG) 1.180
Total xG 2.696
League avg home goals 1.369
League avg away goals 1.178
GIL Vicente attack strength 1.020
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.927
Famalicao attack strength 1.081
Famalicao defence strength 1.085
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55