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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Mon 27 Apr 2026

20:15

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

68%

GIL Vicente

1.47

20%

Draw

5.09

12%

Casa Pia

8.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

2.76

0.72

Casa Pia xG

68%
20%
12%
GIL VicenteDrawCasa Pia

1.47

68%

Home win

5.09

20%

Draw

8.23

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

49%

GIL Vicente

2.06

13%

Casa Pia

7.70

Win to Nil

33%

GIL Vicente

3.02

2%

Casa Pia

63.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.9 9.3 3.4 0.8 0.1
2 13.1 9.5 3.4 0.8 0.1
3 8.9 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 4.6 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.041
λ Away (xG) 0.723
Total xG 2.764
League avg home goals 1.475
League avg away goals 1.118
GIL Vicente attack strength 1.099
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.940
Casa Pia attack strength 0.688
Casa Pia defence strength 1.259
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64