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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio de São Lúis

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

15%

Farense

6.54

27%

Draw

3.67

57%

SC Braga

1.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

18.6%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

13.4%

Away win

0 – 0

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.61

Farense xG

Total xG

2.05

1.45

SC Braga xG

15%
27%
57%
FarenseDrawSC Braga

6.54

15%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

1.74

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.86

65%

BTTS No

1.54

Clean Sheet

24%

Farense

4.25

55%

SC Braga

1.83

Win to Nil

4%

Farense

27.81

31%

SC Braga

3.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.8 18.6 13.4 6.5 2.3 0.7
1 7.8 11.3 8.1 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 2.4 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.606
λ Away (xG) 1.448
Total xG 2.054
League avg home goals 1.337
League avg away goals 1.122
Farense attack strength 0.633
Farense defence strength 1.225
SC Braga attack strength 1.054
SC Braga defence strength 0.716
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59