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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:30

Venue

Estádio de São Lúis

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guimaraes Win

26%

Farense

3.89

31%

Draw

3.25

44%

Guimaraes

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Farense xG

Total xG

2.00

1.17

Guimaraes xG

26%
31%
44%
FarenseDrawGuimaraes

3.89

26%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

2.30

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

31%

Farense

3.22

44%

Guimaraes

2.29

Win to Nil

8%

Farense

12.55

19%

Guimaraes

5.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.6 15.9 9.3 3.6 1.1 0.2
1 11.2 13.1 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 4.6 5.4 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
3 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.827
λ Away (xG) 1.170
Total xG 1.997
League avg home goals 1.375
League avg away goals 1.108
Farense attack strength 0.687
Farense defence strength 1.091
Guimaraes attack strength 0.968
Guimaraes defence strength 0.875
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49