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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Mon 30 Dec 2024

20:15

Venue

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

39%

Famalicao

2.59

32%

Draw

3.12

29%

Santa Clara

3.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Famalicao xG

Total xG

1.86

0.84

Santa Clara xG

39%
32%
29%
FamalicaoDrawSanta Clara

2.59

39%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

3.41

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.75

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

43%

Famalicao

2.33

36%

Santa Clara

2.76

Win to Nil

17%

Famalicao

6.04

11%

Santa Clara

9.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.6 13.2 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 15.8 13.4 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 8.0 6.8 2.9 0.8 0.2
3 2.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.015
λ Away (xG) 0.845
Total xG 1.860
League avg home goals 1.375
League avg away goals 1.109
Famalicao attack strength 0.746
Famalicao defence strength 0.968
Santa Clara attack strength 0.787
Santa Clara defence strength 0.990
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 15