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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

33%

Famalicao

3.06

29%

Draw

3.45

38%

Benfica

2.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.7%

Away win

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Famalicao xG

Total xG

2.21

1.16

Benfica xG

33%
29%
38%
FamalicaoDrawBenfica

3.06

33%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

2.61

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

31%

Famalicao

3.20

35%

Benfica

2.86

Win to Nil

10%

Famalicao

9.77

13%

Benfica

7.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 12.7 7.4 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 11.5 13.4 7.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.0 7.0 4.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.1 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.050
λ Away (xG) 1.162
Total xG 2.212
League avg home goals 1.478
League avg away goals 1.160
Famalicao attack strength 1.012
Famalicao defence strength 0.782
Benfica attack strength 1.281
Benfica defence strength 0.702
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65