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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio José Gomes

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santa Clara Win

35%

Estrela

2.87

26%

Draw

3.79

39%

Santa Clara

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Estrela xG

Total xG

2.59

1.34

Santa Clara xG

35%
26%
39%
EstrelaDrawSanta Clara

2.87

35%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

26%

Estrela

3.81

29%

Santa Clara

3.51

Win to Nil

9%

Estrela

10.94

11%

Santa Clara

9.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 10.0 6.7 3.0 1.0 0.3
1 9.4 12.6 8.4 3.7 1.3 0.3
2 5.9 7.9 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.5 3.3 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.255
λ Away (xG) 1.338
Total xG 2.593
League avg home goals 1.552
League avg away goals 1.250
Estrela attack strength 0.884
Estrela defence strength 1.269
Santa Clara attack strength 0.843
Santa Clara defence strength 0.915
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54