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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

48%

Estoril

2.08

27%

Draw

3.70

25%

Guimaraes

4.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.34

0.93

Guimaraes xG

48%
27%
25%
EstorilDrawGuimaraes

2.08

48%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

4.03

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

39%

Estoril

2.54

24%

Guimaraes

4.10

Win to Nil

19%

Estoril

5.28

6%

Guimaraes

16.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 8.9 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.5 12.6 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 8.9 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.5 4.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.412
λ Away (xG) 0.932
Total xG 2.344
League avg home goals 1.404
League avg away goals 1.285
Estoril attack strength 1.248
Estoril defence strength 1.046
Guimaraes attack strength 0.694
Guimaraes defence strength 0.806
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52