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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 26 Jan 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guimaraes Win

34%

Estoril

2.94

29%

Draw

3.49

37%

Guimaraes

2.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.49

1.28

Guimaraes xG

34%
29%
37%
EstorilDrawGuimaraes

2.94

34%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

2.69

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

28%

Estoril

3.60

30%

Guimaraes

3.37

Win to Nil

9%

Estoril

10.56

11%

Guimaraes

9.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 10.6 6.8 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.0 12.8 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.1 7.8 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.5 3.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.214
λ Away (xG) 1.280
Total xG 2.494
League avg home goals 1.420
League avg away goals 1.187
Estoril attack strength 0.887
Estoril defence strength 1.090
Guimaraes attack strength 0.990
Guimaraes defence strength 0.963
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52