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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

45%

Estoril

2.20

23%

Draw

4.33

31%

GIL Vicente

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 2

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Estoril xG

Total xG

3.20

1.44

GIL Vicente xG

45%
23%
31%
EstorilDrawGIL Vicente

2.20

45%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.71

Clean Sheet

24%

Estoril

4.20

17%

GIL Vicente

5.82

Win to Nil

11%

Estoril

9.25

5%

GIL Vicente

18.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 5.9 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.2 10.3 7.4 3.5 1.3 0.4
2 6.3 9.1 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.7 5.3 3.8 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.761
λ Away (xG) 1.435
Total xG 3.196
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.227
Estoril attack strength 1.293
Estoril defence strength 1.179
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.992
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.880
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56