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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

25%

Estoril

3.93

24%

Draw

4.15

50%

FC Porto

1.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.82

1.69

FC Porto xG

25%
24%
50%
EstorilDrawFC Porto

3.93

25%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

1.98

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

18%

Estoril

5.42

32%

FC Porto

3.09

Win to Nil

5%

Estoril

21.34

16%

FC Porto

6.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 10.1 8.5 4.8 2.0 0.7
1 6.7 11.4 9.6 5.4 2.3 0.8
2 3.8 6.4 5.4 3.1 1.3 0.4
3 1.4 2.4 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.129
λ Away (xG) 1.691
Total xG 2.820
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.140
Estoril attack strength 1.111
Estoril defence strength 1.156
FC Porto attack strength 1.283
FC Porto defence strength 0.672
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62