Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

20:30

Venue

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

24%

Estoril

4.22

23%

Draw

4.38

53%

Benfica

1.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Estoril xG

Total xG

2.98

1.84

Benfica xG

24%
23%
53%
EstorilDrawBenfica

4.22

24%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

1.87

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

16%

Estoril

6.27

32%

Benfica

3.15

Win to Nil

4%

Estoril

26.50

17%

Benfica

5.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 9.3 8.5 5.2 2.4 0.9
1 5.8 10.7 9.8 6.0 2.8 1.0
2 3.3 6.1 5.6 3.4 1.6 0.6
3 1.3 2.3 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.147
λ Away (xG) 1.836
Total xG 2.983
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.136
Estoril attack strength 1.017
Estoril defence strength 1.215
Benfica attack strength 1.330
Benfica defence strength 0.775
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67