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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

20:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Famalicao Win

27%

Casa Pia

3.69

29%

Draw

3.48

44%

Famalicao

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Casa Pia xG

Total xG

2.19

1.27

Famalicao xG

27%
29%
44%
Casa PiaDrawFamalicao

3.69

27%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.30

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

28%

Casa Pia

3.55

40%

Famalicao

2.52

Win to Nil

8%

Casa Pia

13.09

17%

Famalicao

5.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 14.1 9.0 3.8 1.2 0.3
1 10.3 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 4.8 6.1 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.926
λ Away (xG) 1.266
Total xG 2.192
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.234
Casa Pia attack strength 0.816
Casa Pia defence strength 1.100
Famalicao attack strength 0.933
Famalicao defence strength 0.886
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39