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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
21%
4.79
22%
4.48
57%
1.76
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.5%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.0%
Away win
1 – 2
9.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.05
Casa Pia xG
Total xG
2.94
1.89
Benfica xG
Casa PiaDrawBenfica
4.79
21%
Home win
4.48
22%
Draw
1.76
57%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.81
45%
BTTS No
2.24
Clean Sheet
15%
6.59
35%
2.87
Win to Nil
3%
31.56
20%
5.06
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 10.0 | 9.4 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 1 | 5.6 | 10.5 | 9.9 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 2.9 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.055
λ Away (xG)
1.886
Total xG
2.941
League avg home goals
1.536
League avg away goals
1.165
Casa Pia attack strength
1.003
Casa Pia defence strength
1.233
Benfica attack strength
1.313
Benfica defence strength
0.685
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 61