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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio da Luz

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sporting CP Win

33%

Benfica

3.04

26%

Draw

3.87

41%

Sporting CP

2.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

0 – 1

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Benfica xG

Total xG

2.90

1.54

Sporting CP xG

33%
26%
41%
BenficaDrawSporting CP

3.04

33%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

2.42

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

21%

Benfica

4.68

26%

Sporting CP

3.88

Win to Nil

7%

Benfica

14.22

11%

Sporting CP

9.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 8.5 6.6 3.4 1.3 0.4
1 7.5 11.5 8.9 4.6 1.8 0.5
2 5.1 7.8 6.0 3.1 1.2 0.4
3 2.3 3.5 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.355
λ Away (xG) 1.543
Total xG 2.898
League avg home goals 1.312
League avg away goals 1.326
Benfica attack strength 1.361
Benfica defence strength 0.872
Sporting CP attack strength 1.335
Sporting CP defence strength 0.759
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46