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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

56%

Benfica

1.79

24%

Draw

4.10

20%

SC Braga

5.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Benfica xG

Total xG

2.59

0.90

SC Braga xG

56%
24%
20%
BenficaDrawSC Braga

1.79

56%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

5.06

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

41%

Benfica

2.46

18%

SC Braga

5.42

Win to Nil

23%

Benfica

4.40

4%

SC Braga

27.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 6.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 12.7 11.4 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.7 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.0 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.690
λ Away (xG) 0.900
Total xG 2.590
League avg home goals 1.397
League avg away goals 1.146
Benfica attack strength 1.658
Benfica defence strength 0.663
SC Braga attack strength 1.183
SC Braga defence strength 0.729
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50