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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santa Clara Win

28%

AVS

3.62

31%

Draw

3.24

41%

Santa Clara

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

AVS xG

Total xG

2.12

1.20

Santa Clara xG

28%
31%
41%
AVSDrawSanta Clara

3.62

28%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

2.41

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

30%

AVS

3.30

40%

Santa Clara

2.52

Win to Nil

8%

AVS

11.94

16%

Santa Clara

6.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 14.4 8.6 3.4 1.0 0.2
1 11.1 13.3 7.9 3.2 0.9 0.2
2 5.1 6.1 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.924
λ Away (xG) 1.195
Total xG 2.119
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.177
AVS attack strength 0.699
AVS defence strength 1.101
Santa Clara attack strength 0.922
Santa Clara defence strength 0.932
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 20